To Milk or Not to Milk: June 29, 2005
So Subject is on my direct right and is very aggressive. He isn't a complete maniac but I wouldn't classify him as tight aggressive either. He built a big stack by hitting a set and doubling off a maniac and then called down another big all in bet with top pair top kicker. After he built his stack he has been playing bully from position. So I get KJ in the small blind and complete to see the flop with five other players. Hand history is below.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (7 handed) converter
BB (t860)UTG (t1045)MP1 (t795)MP2 (t1005)CO (t905)Button (SUBJECT) (t2555)Steve K (t835)
Preflop: Steve K is SB with Jc, Ks. UTG calls t30, 1 fold, MP2 calls t30, 1 fold, Button (SUBJECT) calls t30, Steve K completes, BB checks.
Flop: (t150) 7c, 2h, Kc (5 players)Steve K checks, BB checks, UTG checks, MP2 checks, SUBJECT bets t275, Steve K calls t275, BB folds, UTG folds, MP2 folds.
Turn: (t700) Td (2 players)Steve K bets t530 (All-In), SUBJECT folds.
Final Pot: t1230
Flop comes K72 with two clubs. I check because I think there are a lot of hands that could have me beat and I don't want a reraise. Also, a small bet isn't going to chase away any flush draws. So everyone checks around to the button who overbets the pot considerably. He is a typical bad player: bets a lot without a hand and slow plays the good ones, so I think I have him beat. I call the bet. Why did I call?
Well, I wanted to see if someone was slow playing a set. If someone hits a set they likely will check and get someone else to bet and everyone knew that the button was going to fire out a raise and play more bully. So the three other checkers all fold and I'm heads up with the bully. The turn card is a Td (Ten of Diamonds). Now that I am almost sure I have the best hand I want to take the pot down there. There is a decent amount of money in the pot and I don't want to give the maniac a free card on the river. He hasn't been playing absolute garbage so I could be giving him three outs on the river if he has an ace, or even more outs if he has two clubs, possibly five outs if he has a hand like A7s (Ace, Seven suited) or A2s.
So could I have made more money on this hand? I'm confident that he was paying attention enough to know that my flop call would slow him down so I was worried about the check and giving him a free card on the river. So I wanted to bet, but maybe I should have bet half my stack to see if he would chase. What do you all think? Would you have check raised all in on flop? Would you have checked the turn?
